Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.003791 0.004147 0.004528 0.004967 0.005461 0.006001 0.006637
2025-11-23 0.003129 0.003615 0.004172 0.004863 0.005703 0.006699 0.007981
2025-11-30 0.002812 0.003370 0.004040 0.004914 0.006038 0.007453 0.009401
2025-12-07 0.002630 0.003247 0.004017 0.005065 0.006477 0.008351 0.011089
2025-12-14 0.002403 0.003036 0.003851 0.004996 0.006601 0.008825 0.012241
2025-12-21 0.002203 0.002838 0.003677 0.004890 0.006648 0.009177 0.013242
2025-12-28 0.002053 0.002693 0.003556 0.004839 0.006757 0.009617 0.014418
2026-01-04 0.001951 0.002603 0.003502 0.004873 0.006985 0.010251 0.015977
2026-01-11 0.001833 0.002479 0.003389 0.004807 0.007051 0.010630 0.017153
2026-01-18 0.001734 0.002377 0.003298 0.004765 0.007144 0.011055 0.018462
2026-01-25 0.001641 0.002277 0.003202 0.004704 0.007197 0.011414 0.019694
2026-02-01 0.001577 0.002215 0.003159 0.004721 0.007378 0.012007 0.021455
2026-02-08 0.001496 0.002126 0.003074 0.004672 0.007456 0.012450 0.023047
2026-02-15 0.001410 0.002025 0.002964 0.004575 0.007444 0.012735 0.024379
2026-02-22 0.001363 0.001982 0.002942 0.004623 0.007693 0.013539 0.026982
2026-03-01 0.001339 0.001973 0.002972 0.004762 0.008123 0.014754 0.030773
2026-03-08 0.001277 0.001899 0.002892 0.004699 0.008161 0.015174 0.032751
2026-03-15 0.001213 0.001818 0.002796 0.004600 0.008121 0.015422 0.034347
2026-03-22 0.001163 0.001758 0.002732 0.004553 0.008177 0.015884 0.036605
2026-03-29 0.001130 0.001725 0.002710 0.004584 0.008394 0.016732 0.040113
2026-04-05 0.001084 0.001667 0.002643 0.004523 0.008413 0.017129 0.042432
2026-04-12 0.001045 0.001619 0.002589 0.004484 0.008474 0.017630 0.045186
2026-04-19 0.001005 0.001568 0.002529 0.004428 0.008492 0.018029 0.047725